By Roland Piquepaille
I always like to read the forecasts done by IDG, Gartner, Forrester or the other market research firms. Especially when they say a particular market will increase from $10 million today to $50 billion two years from now. And I really enjoy reading these forecasts two or more years after their first publication.Anyway, with this particular report, Gartner gives almost no numbers. It's more qualitative than quantitative. So I suppose their experts cannot really go wrong with this forecast.
Here is how Thomas Hoffman starts his review about the latest Gartner's analysis of the IT market.
The good news, according to Gartner Inc. prognosticators, is that technology is going to continue to help companies become more efficient.
The bad news is that it could cost you your job.
Gartner said it expects successful companies buoyed by a stronger economy and continued advances in technology to lay off millions of employees starting within the next two years.
Here are the ten predictions done by Gartner.
- Adding bandwidth will become more cost-effective than buying new computers
- Most major new systems will be interenterprise or cross-enterprise systems
- Despite the complexities, interenterprise systems will provide a macroeconomic boost to companies
- Companies will lay off millions of employees
- The consolidation of vendors will continue in many segments of the IT market
- Moore's Law will hold true through this decade
- Banks will become the primary providers of "presence services" by 2007
- Business activity monitoring will hit the mainstream within five years
- Business units, not IT, will make most application decisions
- The pendulum swings back to decentralized IT operations by 2004
Source: Thomas Hoffman, Computerworld, October 7, 2002
Famous quotes containing the words advances, drive, lots and/or job:
“The Church disowned, the tower overthrown, the bells upturned, what have we to do
But stand with empty hands and palms turned upwards
In an age which advances progressively backwards?”
—T.S. (Thomas Stearns)
“The drive toward knowledge has a moral origin.”
—Friedrich Nietzsche (18441900)
“Everyone says hes sincere, but everyone isnt sincere. If everyone was sincere who says hes sincere there wouldnt be half so many insincere ones in the world and there would be lots, lots, lots more really sincere ones!”
—Tennessee Williams (19141983)
“However, it cant be helped; mothers, if they do their job properly, are the representatives of the hard, demanding world and it is they who gradually introduce reality which is so often the enemy of impulse. There is anger with mother and hatred is somewhere even when there is absolutely no doubt of love that is mixed with adoration.”
—D.W. Winnicott (20th century)